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Red5
15192.7
5621.6
11531.3
Blue1
2130.5
23860.3
31260.7
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5102468101251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
2.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3126
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
562
Unranked
1.60.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
213
Unranked
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1153
Unranked
1.30.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2386
Unranked
0.30.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End