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Red4
15192.7
14931.6
1311.2
Blue7
13071.0
10732.4
782.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44026847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
2.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1073
Unranked
2.40.3
1.41.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1493
Unranked
1.60.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
78
Unranked
2.30.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
131
Unranked
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1307
Unranked
1.00.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End