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Red4
401.8
5011.1
2411.4
Blue6
1330.9
10581.7
1381.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320468101246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
Unranked
1.80.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1058
Unranked
1.70.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
241
Unranked
1.40.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
138
Unranked
1.40.3
1.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
501
Unranked
1.10.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
133
Unranked
0.90.3
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End