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Red7
5090.8
14931.6
33231.0
Blue0
1311.2
1211.6
31320.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1493
Unranked
1.60.4
0.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
121
Unranked
1.60.2
1.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3323
Unranked
1.00.4
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
131
Unranked
1.20.2
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
509
Unranked
0.80.4
0.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3132
Unranked
0.30.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End