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Red6
201.6
18310.6
15120.8
Blue1
5011.1
31260.7
12470.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
1.60.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
501
Unranked
1.10.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1512
Unranked
0.80.3
0.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1247
Unranked
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
Unranked
0.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3126
Unranked
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End