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Red4
782.3
8111.1
10581.7
Blue2
15470.6
23420.7
11531.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
Unranked
2.30.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1153
Unranked
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
1.70.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2342
Unranked
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
811
Unranked
1.10.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1547
Unranked
0.60.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End