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Red1
8850.5
15170.7
12770.5
Blue7
5011.1
15470.6
782.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
78
Unranked
2.30.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1277
Unranked
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
501
Unranked
1.10.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
885
Unranked
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1547
Unranked
0.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End