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Red8
782.3
19222.6
1341.0
Blue4
17291.3
2382.4
1381.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65024810121484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
Unranked
2.60.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
238
Unranked
2.40.0
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
Unranked
2.30.0
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
138
Unranked
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
134
Unranked
1.00.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1729
Unranked
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End