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Quarterfinal 4-22010 New Jersey Regional
Red1
3032.4
24951.4
561.9
Blue6
16721.6
23441.2
111.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions730281012141616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
2.40.1
2.6→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 0.8
1672
Unranked
1.60.1
1.5→1.6
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Teleop—
End—
Second
56
Unranked
1.90.1
2.0→1.9
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Teleop—
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red by 0.5
11
Unranked
1.40.1
1.3→1.3
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Teleop—
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Third
2495
Unranked
1.40.1
1.6→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
2344
Unranked
1.20.1
1.1→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—