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Red5
4861.5
16721.6
7140.6
Blue11
2231.1
411.3
254.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101214511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1672
Unranked
1.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
25
Unranked
4.40.6
1.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
486
Unranked
1.50.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
41
Unranked
1.30.6
0.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
714
Unranked
0.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
223
Unranked
1.10.6
1.11.7
Auto
Teleop
End