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Qual 182010 New Jersey Regional
Red1
32310.5
8690.1
7090.6
Blue2
8161.1
33140.7
16160.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120468101212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
Unranked
0.60.0
0.2→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
816
Unranked
1.10.0
1.1→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3231
Unranked
0.50.0
0.2→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
3314
Unranked
0.70.0
0.2→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
869
Unranked
0.10.0
0.4→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
1616
Unranked
0.40.0
0.2→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—