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Red5
4221.7
4861.5
12792.0
Blue0
18111.0
11550.3
13820.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32014567850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
Unranked
2.00.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1811
UnrankedSur
1.00.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
UnrankedSur
1.70.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1382
Unranked
0.50.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
486
Unranked
1.50.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1155
Unranked
0.30.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End