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Qual 242010 New Jersey Regional
Red4
24581.2
2231.1
20161.8
Blue5
18720.9
23441.2
18601.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102468101245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
Unranked
1.80.1
0.9→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
2344
Unranked
1.20.3
0.7→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2458
Unranked
1.20.1
0.3→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
1860
Unranked
1.20.3
0.6→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
223
Unranked
1.10.1
1.7→1.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
1872
Unranked
0.90.3
0.4→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—