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Red4
4861.5
1021.5
14030.2
Blue1
18720.9
1360.4
2191-0.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
1.50.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1872
Unranked
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
102
Unranked
1.50.1
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
136
Unranked
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1403
Unranked
0.20.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2191
Unranked
-0.20.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End