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Red4
27531.5
13820.5
26070.8
Blue3
2191.4
2231.1
16762.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2753
Unranked
1.50.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1676
Unranked
2.60.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2607
Unranked
0.80.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
219
Unranked
1.40.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1382
Unranked
0.50.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
223
Unranked
1.10.0
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End