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Red3
750.6
4221.7
10891.9
Blue7
24951.4
1021.5
16762.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220123456737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
1.90.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1676
Unranked
2.60.4
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
Unranked
1.70.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
102
Unranked
1.50.4
1.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
75
Unranked
0.60.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2495
Unranked
1.40.4
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End