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Red3
16762.6
2030.8
24581.2
Blue4
3032.4
111.4
18111.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120510152034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
Unranked
2.60.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
303
Unranked
2.40.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2458
Unranked
1.20.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
11
Unranked
1.40.2
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
203
Unranked
0.80.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1811
Unranked
1.00.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End