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Qual 502010 New Jersey Regional
Red3
5551.5
15630.5
19231.4
Blue1
2030.8
8161.1
12280.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
Unranked
1.50.0
1.0→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
816
Unranked
1.10.0
0.9→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1923
Unranked
1.40.0
1.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
203
Unranked
0.80.0
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1563
Unranked
0.50.0
0.6→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
1228
Unranked
0.30.0
0.1→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—