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Red4
4221.7
15630.5
2930.8
Blue0
4861.5
20161.8
4230.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
Unranked
1.70.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2016
Unranked
1.80.3
1.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
Unranked
0.80.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
486
Unranked
1.50.3
1.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1563
Unranked
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
423
Unranked
0.50.3
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End