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Red5
27531.5
18720.9
12792.0
Blue2
23441.2
5551.5
7521.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302681052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
Unranked
2.00.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
555
Unranked
1.50.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2753
Unranked
1.50.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
752
Unranked
1.30.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1872
Unranked
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2344
Unranked
1.20.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End