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Red5
20161.8
3350.4
30591.2
Blue3
1021.5
8702.1
750.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1406810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
Unranked
1.80.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
870
Unranked
2.10.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3059
Unranked
1.20.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
102
Unranked
1.50.0
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
335
Unranked
0.40.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
75
Unranked
0.60.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End