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Red0
8161.1
12570.1
13820.5
Blue4
8341.4
18720.9
26070.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345604

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
1.10.1
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
834
Unranked
1.40.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1382
Unranked
0.50.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1872
Unranked
0.90.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1257
Unranked
0.10.1
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2607
Unranked
0.80.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End