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Red1
2930.8
2191-0.2
16762.6
Blue4
12792.0
23441.2
25770.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3305101520253014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
Unranked
2.60.2
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1279
Unranked
2.00.1
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
Unranked
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2344
Unranked
1.20.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2191
Unranked
-0.20.1
-0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2577
Unranked
0.50.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End