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Qual 752010 New Jersey Regional
Red6
25901.7
8702.1
2030.8
Blue7
4861.5
18601.2
7090.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4206810121467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
Unranked
2.10.2
1.8→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
486
Unranked
1.50.4
1.1→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2590
Unranked
1.70.2
1.8→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
1860
Unranked
1.20.4
0.9→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
203
Unranked
0.80.2
0.5→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
709
Unranked
0.60.4
0.2→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—