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Qual 782010 New Jersey Regional
Red3
11550.3
24951.4
33140.7
Blue1
16721.6
27531.5
22650.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
Unranked
1.40.1
1.3→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
1672
Unranked
1.60.2
1.6→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3314
Unranked
0.70.1
0.7→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
2753
Unranked
1.50.2
1.4→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1155
Unranked
0.30.1
0.1→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
2265
Unranked
0.40.2
0.6→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—