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Red3
21801.7
18720.9
25770.5
Blue2
4230.5
19231.4
33140.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
Unranked
1.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1923
Unranked
1.40.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1872
Unranked
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3314
Unranked
0.70.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2577
Unranked
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
423
Unranked
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End