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Red7
2930.8
10891.9
2231.1
Blue0
7090.6
3350.4
8341.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21013456770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
1.90.4
0.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
834
Unranked
1.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
223
Unranked
1.10.4
0.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
709
Unranked
0.60.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
293
Unranked
0.80.4
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
335
Unranked
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End