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Red9
254.4
16762.6
30591.2
Blue3
21801.7
19231.4
27531.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions940510152093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
4.40.0
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2180
Unranked
1.70.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
Unranked
2.60.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2753
Unranked
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3059
Unranked
1.20.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1923
Unranked
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End