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Red5
8161.1
4221.7
20161.8
Blue4
561.9
3032.4
24951.4
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56010152054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
Unranked
1.80.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
303
Unranked
2.40.0
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
Unranked
1.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
56
Unranked
1.90.1
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
816
Unranked
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2495
Unranked
1.40.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End