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Qual 102010 Las Vegas Regional
Red5
25432.3
16221.3
20570.2
Blue7
9874.2
31550.3
41.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35026810121457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#12
2.30.1
2.2→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.9
987
#3
4.20.1
2.9→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1622
#15
1.30.1
1.1→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
4
#17
1.50.2
1.5→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2057
#45
0.20.1
0.4→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
3155
#38
0.30.2
0.2→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—