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Red3
17800.3
12661.3
9874.2
Blue3
19670.6
26371.9
21020.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6304810121433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#3
4.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2637
#13
1.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1266
#16
1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1967
#30Sur
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1780
#43Sur
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2102
#33
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End