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Red1
31560.4
30090.9
17030.4
Blue3
14570.5
32301.1
24291.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#22
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2429
#18
1.40.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1703
#29
0.40.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3230
#21
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3156
#41
0.40.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1457
#36
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End