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Qual 362010 Las Vegas Regional
Red0
19670.6
10130.8
17800.3
Blue2
29840.9
25432.3
26591.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250468101202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1013
#27
0.80.1
1.0→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
2543
#12
2.30.1
2.7→2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1967
#30
0.60.1
0.7→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
2659
#24
1.10.1
1.4→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1780
#43
0.30.2
0.6→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
2984
#19
0.90.1
0.4→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—