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Red6
28130.7
31550.3
24963.1
Blue3
24841.7
30191.1
5851.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33026810121463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.10.2
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2484
#11
1.70.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2813
#23
0.70.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
585
#25
1.20.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3155
#38
0.30.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3019
#35
1.10.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End