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Qual 582010 Las Vegas Regional
Red1
9880.5
17800.3
30110.5
Blue4
9732.7
16221.3
32301.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16024810121414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3011
#31
0.50.0
0.8→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
973
#8
2.70.1
2.6→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
988
#44
0.50.1
0.4→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
1622
#15
1.30.1
1.3→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1780
#43
0.30.1
0.5→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
3230
#21
1.10.1
1.1→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—