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Red2
24291.4
24963.1
2139-0.2
Blue3
24850.9
12661.3
16221.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions530246810121423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.10.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1622
#15
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2429
#18
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1266
#16
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2139
#37
-0.20.2
-0.1-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2485
#20
0.90.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End