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Red2
41.5
19670.6
25200.9
Blue4
31550.3
24291.4
15721.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3301234567824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#17
1.50.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1572
#10
1.70.0
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2520
#39
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2429
#18
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1967
#30
0.60.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3155
#38
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End