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Red5
22650.8
3412.7
6941.8
Blue3
3751.9
11551.0
2711.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6502481012141653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
2.70.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
271
#9
1.90.1
2.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
#5
1.80.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
375
#8
1.90.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2265
#13
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1155
#16
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End