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Red5
2630.8
23442.3
1811.0
Blue0
13020.5
28361.9
3950.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430510152050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1.90.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#18
1.00.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
395
#45
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
263
#39
0.80.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1302
#49
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End