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Red1
3541.6
5221.6
31420.9
Blue4
30591.6
3330.8
31110.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430268101214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
522
#2
1.60.1
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3059
#10
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
354
#3
1.60.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
333
#26
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#28
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3111
#15
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End