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Red1
22650.8
6400.3
11551.0
Blue5
18620.8
6941.8
3541.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#16
1.00.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
694
#5
1.80.1
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2265
#13
0.80.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
354
#3
1.60.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
640
#46
0.30.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1862
#20
0.80.1
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End