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Red3
13020.5
26010.7
28950.2
Blue1
30170.5
25540.0
3710.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#17
0.70.2
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
371
#59
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1302
#49
0.50.2
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3017
#55
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2895
#38
0.20.2
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2554
#60
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto
Teleop
End