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Red2
5551.6
13960.3
22030.4
Blue2
3541.6
7590.3
16170.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#19
1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
354
#3
1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2203
#56
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1617
#48
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1396
#58
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
759
#47
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End