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Red2
16350.4
19890.4
31420.9
Blue4
1403-0.0
6941.8
3290.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#28
0.90.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
694
#5
1.80.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1635
#44
0.40.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
329
#29
0.80.2
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1989
#35
0.40.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1403
#31
-0.00.1
-0.2-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End