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Red9
6941.8
32040.5
3412.7
Blue10
2630.8
1811.0
23442.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5402681012910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
2.70.1
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2.30.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
#5
1.80.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
181
#18
1.00.2
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3204
#40
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
263
#39
0.80.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End