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Red11
4697.2
2174.7
11880.5
Blue4
333.7
9102.9
2881.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1380510152025114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
7.20.0
7.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
33
#2
3.70.1
3.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#4
4.70.0
4.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
910
#25
2.90.1
3.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1188
#38
0.50.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
288
#11
1.80.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End