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Red5
2881.8
30690.6
31191.4
Blue0
21630.5
5030.8
25862.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35010152050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#11
1.80.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2586
#21
2.30.2
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3119
#17
1.40.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
503
#27
0.80.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3069
#28
0.60.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2163
#33
0.50.2
0.40.1
Auto
Teleop
End