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Red4
31191.4
9102.9
28320.7
Blue5
21452.2
29600.9
26731.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions540268101245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#25
2.90.0
3.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2.20.0
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3119
#17
1.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2673
#19
1.40.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2832
#40
0.70.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2960
#18
0.90.0
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End