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Red2
12160.7
4681.0
26760.9
Blue10
11880.5
21452.2
5030.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046810210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
468
#34
1.00.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2.20.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2676
#32
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
503
#27
0.80.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1216
#35
0.70.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1188
#38
0.50.4
0.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End