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Red1
28320.7
29600.9
25862.3
Blue7
21630.5
26122.4
3082.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions550248101217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#21
2.30.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2.40.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2960
#18
0.90.2
1.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
308
#16
2.10.1
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2832
#40
0.70.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2163
#33
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End